Wut a drag. Hussein is incompitent and the polls are showin' it.

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

Friday, November 20, 2009
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -14 (see trends).

Today’s results match the lowest Approval Index rating yet recorded for this President and it’s the third straight day at -14. Prior to these three days, Obama’s ratings had fallen to -14 on only one day since taking office.

The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook.

Overall, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) now disapprove.

Congressional leaders don’t fare so well. Most voters have an unfavorable opinion of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and 47% say the same about Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. Republican leaders have lower unfavorable ratings because they are not as well known.

A Rasmussen video report notes that 51% believe that job creation would come from cancelling the rest of the stimulus spending.

In Arizona, Senator John McCain could face a serious primary challenge from the right. Former Congressman J.D. Hayworth is essentially even with McCain in the first Rasmussen Reports poll of the race.

California Senator Barbara Boxer continues to hold a comfortable lead in her 2010 re-election bid but her support remains below the 50% level. In California’s race for Governor, it’s a toss-up between Jerry Brown and Meg Whitman.

(More Below)



By a 3-to-1 margin, voters believe that tax cuts will create more jobs than additional government stimulus spending. The Political Class disagrees.

Only 18% believe that our legal system is too concerned about national security at the expense of individual rights. Thirty-nine percent (39%) believe there is too much concern about individual rights.

Scott Rasmussen and Doug Schoen have a recent column in the Wall Street Journal noting that Obama is losing Independent voters. Rasmussen has had three other columns published in the Journal analyzing health care, the President's approval ratings, and how Obama won the White House by campaigning like Ronald Reagan. If you'd like Scott Rasmussen to speak at your meeting, retreat, or conference, contact Premiere Speakers Bureau. You can also learn about Scott's favorite place on earth or his time working with hockey legend Gordie Howe.

It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama's numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the President's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.

(More Below)



Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology).

Pollster.com founder Mark Blumenthal noted that “independent analyses from the National Council on Public Polls, the American Association for Public Opinion Research, the Pew Research Center, the Wall Street Journal and FiveThirtyEight.com have all shown that the horse-race numbers produced by automated telephone surveys did at least as well as those from conventional live-interviewer surveys in predicting election outcomes.”

In the 2009 New Jersey Governor’s race, automated polls tended to be more accurate than operator-assisted polling techniques. On reviewing the state polling results from 2009, Mickey Kaus offered this assessment, “If you have a choice between Rasmussen and, say, the prestigious N.Y. Times, go with Rasmussen!”

Additionally, an analysis by Pollster.com partner Charles Franklin “found that despite identically sized three-day samples, the Rasmussen daily tracking poll is less variable than Gallup.” During Election 2008, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll was the least volatile of all those tracking the race. That stability is one reason that Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com said that the Rasmussen tracking poll “would probably be the one I'd want with me on a desert island."

A Fordham University professor rated the national pollsters on their record in Election 2008. We also have provided a summary of our results for your review. In 2008, Obama won 53%-46% and our final poll showed Obama winning 52% to 46%. While we were pleased with the final result, Rasmussen Reports was especially pleased with the stability of our results. On every single day for the last six weeks of the campaign, our daily tracking showed Obama with a stable and solid lead attracting more than 50% of the vote.

In 2004 George W. Bush received 50.7% of the vote while John Kerry earned 48.3%. Rasmussen Reports was the only firm to project both candidates’ totals within half a percentage point by projecting that Bush would win 50.2% to 48.5%. (see our 2004 results).

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The margin of sampling error—for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters--is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Premium Members.

Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large (see methodology). Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Over the past five years, the number of Democrats in the country has increased while the number of Republicans has decreased.

Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly. Currently, the baseline targets for the adult population are 37.5% Democrats, 32.2% Republicans, and 30.3% unaffiliated. Likely voter samples typically show a slightly smaller advantage for the Democrats.

A review of last week’s key polls is posted each Saturday morning. Other stats on Obama are updated daily on the Rasmussen Reports Obama By the Numbers page. We also invite you to review other recent demographic highlights from the tracking polls.

Not sure why it has taken so long for the majority of the people to realize just what a "waste of space" he is!

I had him at "0" zero percent favorable from the beginning!

I tried to tell everyone...who voted for it(BHO), that they'd be S O R R Y !!!

I TOLD YOU SO!

Zogby has his approvals at 46%....

I'm holding my "told ya so's" until it gets much worse. Still deep in my mind, somehow they are still going to blame the conservatives for this morons downfall. Ignoring the fact that's he's a worthless piece of poo poo.

Actually, he will do fine.

With the economy the way it is which isn't his fault, people are going blame him.

It will get better next year and he will show to be a good president.

Can you garrantee that?
Where is your proof?
All "expert" economists are saying different. What inside info do you have to prove them wrong?

All expert economists are not saying different so that is not true.

regardless of the economy or what he hasn't done, but he should give back the Nobel Peace price because he hasn't even moved a finger regarding world peace, beside going to China and Korea and telling them to be more democratic. (LOL!)

yanno in the last couple of months I have seen about 8 doctors

and ALL of em are vehemently opposed to this healthcare plan

I havent met one yet that supports it

Prove them wrong.
You have yet to offer any evidence aside from you're itty-bitty opinion. It's has as much value as mine. Opinions and a buck just might buy a cup of coffee.
Proof! Put up or (fill in da blank)

No no, its really gratifying doing it now.. Ive tried it! AND later.. you know you also have the added bonus of saying "I knew it alll alongg."

I said they aren't saying what you are impying they are saying so if you need to prove the eonomists wrong because they are predicting what I said.

Wow, everybody is a prophet here.

I don't see any point in trying to talk sense to Obamaphiles like you all are doing. I went through this with Bushbots, and I learned that people who are just in LOVE with national-level politicians develop a quasi-religious fervor in their beliefs. It's more sensible to just say "I told you so" and have a belly laugh.

No big suprise here the non stop negative anti Obama propaganda by the business elites have half the country brainwashed. Look how low Bush was even with all the Rah-rah by the media. The free passes given for the lies on the Iraq war and the over all wreck he made of the country hardly made frontline news. It seems to me Obama gets nothing but negative press on every issue even though he is the guy trying to clean up the mess of 8 years of republican neglect. I suppose if americans are so stupid they no longer deserve to be the leaders of the free world. Its no small wonder we are declineing in every catagory that is measurable.

"poo poo" is putting it mildly!

Have a great weekend...

*TMF*

This makes no sense-why would the business elites be anti-Obama when they wanted his handouts? FYI, Obama isn't exactly doing much to stop the phony wars and Republican corruption-quite the contrary. As far as "free-passes" for Bush, only the neocon media did that. The MSM slammed him regularly (and rightly so).

In summary, you're mostly seeing what you want to see-as Americans like to do.

These same "expert economists" also said the financial markets were stable and growing in March of 2008. So if you expect me to believe what they are saying proves the president is doing a bad job, the burden of proof is on you.


Second, 59% of people still approve of what the president is doing. That is more than enough to still get re-elected. (41% disapproval subtracted from the whole, that's how math is done)


Third, if we don't like what he's doing, odds are, he's on the right track because as a species, we abhore change. If it makes us uncomfortable as a group, it's probably something that needs to be done.

I dunno

Bush, Truman, Nixon, and Carter got by on a 25% approval

so he is okay so far