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Topic: Post your toss-up state predictions
s1owhand's photo
Sun 11/04/12 05:13 AM
CO - Romney/Obama?
FL - Romney/Obama?
IA - Romney/Obama?
NV - Romney/Obama?
NH - Romney/Obama?
OH - Romney/Obama?
VA - Romney/Obama?
WI - Romney/Obama?



no photo
Sun 11/04/12 07:19 AM

CO - Romney
FL - Romney
IA - Romney
NV - Obama
NH - Romney
OH - Romney
VA - Romney
WI - Obama



It's time for change.....smokin

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard

s1owhand's photo
Sun 11/04/12 01:52 PM
Now there's somebody who is not chicken!

drinker

andrewzooms's photo
Sun 11/04/12 04:51 PM
269 - 269. House Votes Romney. Senate Votes Biden.


s1owhand's photo
Sun 11/04/12 05:33 PM

269 - 269. House Votes Romney. Senate Votes Biden.


which states?

laugh
drinker

Sojourning_Soul's photo
Sun 11/04/12 05:46 PM

s1owhand's photo
Sun 11/04/12 06:56 PM
That may be...

laugh

But what do you think the results of elections in the above states
will be?

Chazster's photo
Sun 11/04/12 07:05 PM
I think its a battle for Ohio. My bet is whoever ends up with Ohio wins the election.

s1owhand's photo
Sun 11/04/12 07:47 PM
here is the huff post electoral map clickable interactive map...

drinker

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

no photo
Sun 11/04/12 08:14 PM
Fingers crossed......http://www.620wtmj.com/blogs/charliesykes/177091521.html


I've long regarded Michael Barone as the Gold Standard of political analysis; his knowledge is so encyclopedic that he actually edited the Almanac of American Politics.

He's calling the race: predicting Romney 315, electoral votes, Obama 223. "That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals." Barone thinks that Romney will carry BOTH Ohio and Wisconsin. Some highlights.

Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don't see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.

Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland's Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don't mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.

Virginia (13). Post-debate polling mildly favors Romney, and early voting is way down in heavily Democratic Arlington, Alexandria, Richmond and Norfolk. Northern Virginia Asians may trend Romney. Romney.

Colorado (9). Unlike 2008, registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats, and more Republicans than Democrats have voted early. The Republican trend in 2010 was squandered by weak candidates for governor and senator. Not this time. Romney.

Iowa (6). The unexpected Romney endorsements by the Des Moines Register and three other newspapers gave voice to buyer's remorse in a state Obama carried by 10 points. Democrats' traditional margin in early voting has declined. Romney.

Pennsylvania (20). Everyone would have picked Obama two weeks ago. I think higher turnout in pro-coal Western Pennsylvania and higher Republican percentages in the Philadelphia suburbs could produce a surprise. The Romney team evidently thinks so too. Their investment in TV time is too expensive to be a mere feint, and, as this is written, Romney is planning a Sunday event in Bucks County outside Philly. Wobbling on my limb, Romney.

Wisconsin (10). Recent polling is discouraging for Republicans. But Gov. Scott Walker handily survived the recall effort in June with a great organizational push. Democrats depend heavily on margins in inner-city Milwaukee (population down) and the Madison university community. But early voting is down in university towns in other states. The Obama campaign is prepared to turn out a big student vote, but you don't see many Obama signs on campuses. Romney.

Lpdon's photo
Sun 11/04/12 09:48 PM
I think Nevada will go to Romney but it will be close. It's great in my town everywhere I turn are Romney signs and I have yet to see one Obama sign.

FearandLoathing's photo
Mon 11/05/12 01:23 AM
CO - Big Bird
FL - Oscar the Grouch
IA - Kermit the Frog
NV - Ms. Piggy
NH - Elmo
OH - Bert & Ernie
VA - Cookie Monster
WI - Count von Count

If only...

Lpdon's photo
Mon 11/05/12 01:35 AM
slaphead

Conrad_73's photo
Mon 11/05/12 03:35 AM

269 - 269. House Votes Romney. Senate Votes Biden.


The Dream-,errrrm,Nightmare-Team!laugh

Sojourning_Soul's photo
Mon 11/05/12 03:37 AM

CO - banker puppet
FL - banker puppet
IA - banker puppet
NV - banker puppet
NH - banker puppet
OH - banker puppet
VA - banker puppet
WI - banker puppet

Outcome: illusion of choice


Conrad_73's photo
Mon 11/05/12 03:37 AM

Fingers crossed......http://www.620wtmj.com/blogs/charliesykes/177091521.html


I've long regarded Michael Barone as the Gold Standard of political analysis; his knowledge is so encyclopedic that he actually edited the Almanac of American Politics.

He's calling the race: predicting Romney 315, electoral votes, Obama 223. "That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals." Barone thinks that Romney will carry BOTH Ohio and Wisconsin. Some highlights.

Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don't see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.

Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland's Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don't mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.

Virginia (13). Post-debate polling mildly favors Romney, and early voting is way down in heavily Democratic Arlington, Alexandria, Richmond and Norfolk. Northern Virginia Asians may trend Romney. Romney.

Colorado (9). Unlike 2008, registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats, and more Republicans than Democrats have voted early. The Republican trend in 2010 was squandered by weak candidates for governor and senator. Not this time. Romney.

Iowa (6). The unexpected Romney endorsements by the Des Moines Register and three other newspapers gave voice to buyer's remorse in a state Obama carried by 10 points. Democrats' traditional margin in early voting has declined. Romney.

Pennsylvania (20). Everyone would have picked Obama two weeks ago. I think higher turnout in pro-coal Western Pennsylvania and higher Republican percentages in the Philadelphia suburbs could produce a surprise. The Romney team evidently thinks so too. Their investment in TV time is too expensive to be a mere feint, and, as this is written, Romney is planning a Sunday event in Bucks County outside Philly. Wobbling on my limb, Romney.

Wisconsin (10). Recent polling is discouraging for Republicans. But Gov. Scott Walker handily survived the recall effort in June with a great organizational push. Democrats depend heavily on margins in inner-city Milwaukee (population down) and the Madison university community. But early voting is down in university towns in other states. The Obama campaign is prepared to turn out a big student vote, but you don't see many Obama signs on campuses. Romney.

there is a Dane waiting for $500.-!
Says he needs to pay his Taxes!laugh

RoamingOrator's photo
Mon 11/05/12 05:25 AM
I predict that the swing state voters will be tired of seeing news vans and having microphones shoved into their faces before the day is over.


It almost makes me glad I live in a state where the outcome could have been predicted in 1970.

metalwing's photo
Mon 11/05/12 05:25 AM
Texas is not one of them!

s1owhand's photo
Mon 11/05/12 08:57 AM

Texas is not one of them!


I will go out on a limb and call TX - "leaning Romney" laugh

drinker

no photo
Mon 11/05/12 09:42 AM


Fingers crossed......http://www.620wtmj.com/blogs/charliesykes/177091521.html


I've long regarded Michael Barone as the Gold Standard of political analysis; his knowledge is so encyclopedic that he actually edited the Almanac of American Politics.

He's calling the race: predicting Romney 315, electoral votes, Obama 223. "That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals." Barone thinks that Romney will carry BOTH Ohio and Wisconsin. Some highlights.

Florida (29). The biggest target state has trended Romney since the Denver debate. I don't see any segment of the electorate favoring Obama more than in 2008, and I see some (South Florida Jews) favoring him less. Romney.

Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland's Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don't mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.

Virginia (13). Post-debate polling mildly favors Romney, and early voting is way down in heavily Democratic Arlington, Alexandria, Richmond and Norfolk. Northern Virginia Asians may trend Romney. Romney.

Colorado (9). Unlike 2008, registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats, and more Republicans than Democrats have voted early. The Republican trend in 2010 was squandered by weak candidates for governor and senator. Not this time. Romney.

Iowa (6). The unexpected Romney endorsements by the Des Moines Register and three other newspapers gave voice to buyer's remorse in a state Obama carried by 10 points. Democrats' traditional margin in early voting has declined. Romney.

Pennsylvania (20). Everyone would have picked Obama two weeks ago. I think higher turnout in pro-coal Western Pennsylvania and higher Republican percentages in the Philadelphia suburbs could produce a surprise. The Romney team evidently thinks so too. Their investment in TV time is too expensive to be a mere feint, and, as this is written, Romney is planning a Sunday event in Bucks County outside Philly. Wobbling on my limb, Romney.

Wisconsin (10). Recent polling is discouraging for Republicans. But Gov. Scott Walker handily survived the recall effort in June with a great organizational push. Democrats depend heavily on margins in inner-city Milwaukee (population down) and the Madison university community. But early voting is down in university towns in other states. The Obama campaign is prepared to turn out a big student vote, but you don't see many Obama signs on campuses. Romney.

there is a Dane waiting for $500.-!
Says he needs to pay his Taxes!laugh


laugh Don't think my $500 is gonna cover it Con!...Won't even come closelaugh

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